Maritimo vs FC Porto prediction

Saturday 10 October 2026, 18:00, Estádio do Marítimo

Full time: 1-2

Our prediction

The model gives Maritimo a 15% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 62% for FC Porto. Expected goals: Maritimo 0.8, FC Porto 1.9. Most likely score: 0-2.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams score48%

Most likely scores

  • 0-212%
  • 0-111.9%
  • 1-111.1%
  • 1-29.7%
  • 0-07.6%

Recent form

Maritimo

  • DGil Vicente 1-1 Maritimo
  • LMoreirense 3-1 Maritimo
  • LMaritimo 0-3 Benfica
  • LArouca 2-1 Maritimo
  • DMaritimo 2-2 Académico de Viseu

FC Porto

  • WFC Porto 3-1 Benfica
  • WCasa Pia 1-4 FC Porto
  • LFC Porto 0-2 Manchester City
  • WFC Porto 2-1 Moreirense
  • WAcadémico de Viseu 0-3 FC Porto

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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