Rio Ave vs Estrela prediction
Monday 14 September 2026, 18:45, Estádio do Rio Ave
Full time: 3-3
Our prediction
The model gives Rio Ave a 29% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 44% for Estrela. Expected goals: Rio Ave 1.3, Estrela 1.6. Most likely score: 1-1.
RAFC29%Draw26%EST44%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away44%✗Fair odds 2.25Double chanceEither team74%✗Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.555%✓Fair odds 1.80Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.580%✓Fair odds 1.26Both teams to scoreYes59%✓Fair odds 1.70Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.12Draw no betAway60%Fair odds 1.66Asian handicapHome +0.556%✓Fair odds 1.80Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway52%✓Fair odds 1.91Win to nilAway21%✗Fair odds 4.69
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams score | 59% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.3%
- 1-29.2%
- 0-18%
- 2-17.3%
- 0-27.2%
Recent form
Rio Ave
- LSanta Clara 4-0 Rio Ave
- LRio Ave 0-4 Sporting CP
- WEstoril 0-2 Rio Ave
- LRio Ave 0-2 FC Porto
- LGil Vicente 1-0 Rio Ave
Estrela
- WEstrela 2-1 Braga
- DEstrela 2-2 FC Famalicao
- WC.D. Nacional 2-3 Estrela
- DAlverca 2-2 Estrela
- DEstrela 2-2 Sporting CP
Head to head
- WRio Ave 2-1 Estrela
- WEstrela 1-2 Rio Ave
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.