Sporting CP vs C.D. Nacional prediction
Saturday 5 September 2026, 20:30, Estádio José Alvalade
Full time: 2-0
Our prediction
The model gives Sporting CP a 74% chance of winning, 17% for a draw and 9% for C.D. Nacional. Expected goals: Sporting CP 2.5, C.D. Nacional 0.8. Most likely score: 2-0.
SCP74%Draw17%CDN9%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home74%✓Fair odds 1.35Double chanceHome or draw91%✓Fair odds 1.10Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.563%✗Fair odds 1.58Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.584%✓Fair odds 1.19Both teams to scoreYes50%✗Fair odds 2.00Correct score2-012%✓Fair odds 8.44Draw no betHome89%✓Fair odds 1.12Asian handicapHome -0.574%✓Fair odds 1.35Odd/Even goalsEven51%✓Fair odds 1.95First team to scoreHome73%✓Fair odds 1.37Win to nilHome42%✓Fair odds 2.40
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% |
| Both teams score | 50% |
Most likely scores
- 2-011.9%
- 3-09.8%
- 2-19.2%
- 1-09%
- 1-18%
Recent form
Sporting CP
- WRio Ave 0-4 Sporting CP
- WSporting CP 3-1 Alverca
- WSporting CP 3-2 Vitória de Guimaraes
- DEstrela 2-2 Sporting CP
- WSporting CP 3-0 Gil Vicente
C.D. Nacional
- LC.D. Nacional 2-3 Estrela
- LVitória de Guimaraes 1-0 C.D. Nacional
- WC.D. Nacional 2-0 Estoril
- DSanta Clara 2-2 C.D. Nacional
- WC.D. Nacional 2-0 Vitória de Guimaraes
Head to head
- WSporting CP 2-1 C.D. Nacional
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.