Vitória de Guimaraes vs Casa Pia prediction
Sunday 6 September 2026, 18:00, Estádio D. Afonso Henriques
Full time: 0-0
Our prediction
The model gives Vitória de Guimaraes a 59% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 16% for Casa Pia. Expected goals: Vitória de Guimaraes 1.7, Casa Pia 0.8. Most likely score: 1-0.
VSC59%Draw26%CPAC16%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home59%✗Fair odds 1.70Double chanceHome or draw84%✓Fair odds 1.18Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.556%✓Fair odds 1.80Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.571%✗Fair odds 1.40Both teams to scoreNo56%✓Fair odds 1.80Correct score1-014%✗Fair odds 7.32Draw no betHome79%Fair odds 1.26Asian handicapHome -0.559%✗Fair odds 1.70Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome63%✗Fair odds 1.60Win to nilHome37%✗Fair odds 2.68
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% |
| Both teams score | 44% |
Most likely scores
- 1-013.7%
- 2-012.3%
- 1-111.9%
- 0-09.5%
- 2-19.4%
Recent form
Vitória de Guimaraes
- LBraga 1-0 Vitória de Guimaraes
- WVitória de Guimaraes 1-0 C.D. Nacional
- LSporting CP 3-2 Vitória de Guimaraes
- LVitória de Guimaraes 0-1 Arouca
- LC.D. Nacional 2-0 Vitória de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
- LCasa Pia 0-1 Moreirense
- LGil Vicente 2-0 Casa Pia
- LCasa Pia 0-7 Benfica
- LMaritimo 1-0 Casa Pia
- DCasa Pia 1-1 Rio Ave
Head to head
- LVitória de Guimaraes 0-1 Casa Pia
- DCasa Pia 0-0 Vitória de Guimaraes
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.