Vitória de Guimaraes vs Moreirense prediction
Sunday 20 September 2026, 15:30, Estádio D. Afonso Henriques
Full time: 1-1
Our prediction
The model gives Vitória de Guimaraes a 47% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 24% for Moreirense. Expected goals: Vitória de Guimaraes 1.4, Moreirense 0.9. Most likely score: 1-1.
VSC47%Draw29%MFC24%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home47%✗Fair odds 2.13Double chanceHome or draw76%✓Fair odds 1.31Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.558%✓Fair odds 1.71Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.569%✓Fair odds 1.45Both teams to scoreNo53%✗Fair odds 1.88Correct score1-114%✓Fair odds 7.33Draw no betHome66%Fair odds 1.51Asian handicapAway +1.577%✓Fair odds 1.31Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome54%✗Fair odds 1.86Win to nilHome29%✗Fair odds 3.48
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| Both teams score | 47% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.6%
- 1-012.5%
- 0-010.6%
- 2-09.6%
- 2-18.9%
Recent form
Vitória de Guimaraes
- LAcadémico de Viseu 2-1 Vitória de Guimaraes
- DVitória de Guimaraes 0-0 Casa Pia
- LBraga 1-0 Vitória de Guimaraes
- WVitória de Guimaraes 1-0 C.D. Nacional
- LSporting CP 3-2 Vitória de Guimaraes
Moreirense
- WMoreirense 3-1 Maritimo
- LMoreirense 0-4 Benfica
- LFC Porto 2-1 Moreirense
- WCasa Pia 0-1 Moreirense
- LArouca 4-0 Moreirense
Head to head
- WVitória de Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.