Athletico-PR vs Palmeiras prediction

Saturday 17 October 2026, 23:30, Arena da Baixada

Full time: 0-2

Our prediction

The model gives Athletico-PR a 28% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 44% for Palmeiras. Expected goals: Athletico-PR 1.1, Palmeiras 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams score53%

Most likely scores

  • 1-113.4%
  • 0-110.1%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-08.6%
  • 0-28.1%

Recent form

Athletico-PR

  • WChapecoense 1-4 Athletico-PR
  • DAthletico-PR 2-2 Atlético-MG
  • WAthletico-PR 2-1 Bahia
  • DCoritiba 3-3 Athletico-PR
  • LCruzeiro 3-1 Athletico-PR

Palmeiras

  • WPalmeiras 4-1 Corinthians
  • WPalmeiras 1-0 Bahia
  • DGrêmio 0-0 Palmeiras
  • WPalmeiras 2-0 São Paulo
  • DBotafogo 0-0 Palmeiras

Head to head

  • LPalmeiras 1-0 Athletico-PR

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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