Botafogo vs Atlético-MG prediction

Thursday 5 November 2026, 01:30, Joao Havelange Stadium

Our prediction

The model gives Botafogo a 33% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 39% for Atlético-MG. Expected goals: Botafogo 1.2, Atlético-MG 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams score54%

Most likely scores

  • 1-113.5%
  • 0-19.1%
  • 1-28.5%
  • 0-08.5%
  • 1-08.2%

Recent form

Botafogo

  • LRemo 2-1 Botafogo
  • LInternacional 3-0 Botafogo
  • WBotafogo 1-0 Chapecoense
  • DCoritiba 1-1 Botafogo
  • LBotafogo 1-2 Vasco da Gama

Atlético-MG

  • LAtlético-MG 0-1 Cruzeiro
  • LFlamengo 3-2 Atlético-MG
  • WAtlético-MG 1-0 Coritiba
  • WAtlético-MG 2-1 Santos
  • DAthletico-PR 2-2 Atlético-MG

Head to head

  • DAtlético-MG 1-1 Botafogo
  • WBotafogo 1-0 Atlético-MG

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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