Athletico-PR vs Vasco da Gama prediction
Wednesday 4 November 2026, 23:30, Arena da Baixada
Our prediction
The model gives Athletico-PR a 54% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 22% for Vasco da Gama. Expected goals: Athletico-PR 1.9, Vasco da Gama 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
CAP54%Draw24%VAS22%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home54%Fair odds 1.84Double chanceHome or draw78%Fair odds 1.28Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.560%Fair odds 1.65Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.583%Fair odds 1.21Both teams to scoreYes60%Fair odds 1.66Correct score1-111%Fair odds 9.17Draw no betHome71%Fair odds 1.41Asian handicapAway +1.568%Fair odds 1.47Odd/Even goalsEven52%Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome59%Fair odds 1.70Win to nilHome25%Fair odds 3.94
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Both teams score | 60% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.9%
- 2-19.8%
- 2-08.3%
- 1-07.7%
- 3-16.3%
Recent form
Athletico-PR
- LGrêmio 2-0 Athletico-PR
- DVitória 1-1 Athletico-PR
- LAthletico-PR 0-2 Palmeiras
- WChapecoense 1-4 Athletico-PR
- DAthletico-PR 2-2 Atlético-MG
Vasco da Gama
- LVasco da Gama 1-4 Flamengo
- WVasco da Gama 3-2 Corinthians
- LSão Paulo 1-0 Vasco da Gama
- DVasco da Gama 0-0 Remo
- WBotafogo 1-2 Vasco da Gama
Head to head
- LVasco da Gama 1-0 Athletico-PR
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.