Flamengo vs Grêmio prediction
Wednesday 4 November 2026, 23:30, Estadio do Maracana
Our prediction
The model gives Flamengo a 71% chance of winning, 19% for a draw and 10% for Grêmio. Expected goals: Flamengo 2.3, Grêmio 0.8. Most likely score: 2-0.
FLA71%Draw19%GRE10%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home71%Fair odds 1.41Double chanceHome or draw90%Fair odds 1.11Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.559%Fair odds 1.70Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.582%Fair odds 1.23Both teams to scoreNo51%Fair odds 1.95Correct score2-012%Fair odds 8.10Draw no betHome87%Fair odds 1.15Asian handicapHome -0.571%Fair odds 1.41Odd/Even goalsEven51%Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome71%Fair odds 1.41Win to nilHome41%Fair odds 2.44
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Both teams score | 49% |
Most likely scores
- 2-012.3%
- 1-010.1%
- 2-19.5%
- 3-09.4%
- 1-19%
Recent form
Flamengo
- WVasco da Gama 1-4 Flamengo
- WFlamengo 3-2 Atlético-MG
- WBahia 0-3 Flamengo
- WFlamengo 1-0 Fluminense
- DSantos 2-2 Flamengo
Grêmio
- WGrêmio 2-0 Athletico-PR
- WCoritiba 0-1 Grêmio
- LGrêmio 2-4 Cruzeiro
- DGrêmio 1-1 Internacional
- DRemo 1-1 Grêmio
Head to head
- WGrêmio 0-1 Flamengo
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.