São Paulo vs Corinthians prediction
Thursday 5 November 2026, 01:30, Estádio Vila Belmiro (Urbano Caldeira)
Our prediction
The model gives São Paulo a 42% chance of winning, 30% for a draw and 28% for Corinthians. Expected goals: São Paulo 1.3, Corinthians 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
SAO42%Draw30%COR28%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home42%Fair odds 2.36Double chanceHome or draw72%Fair odds 1.38Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.559%Fair odds 1.69Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.568%Fair odds 1.46Both teams to scoreNo53%Fair odds 1.90Correct score1-114%Fair odds 7.12Draw no betHome61%Fair odds 1.65Asian handicapAway +0.558%Fair odds 1.74Odd/Even goalsEven53%Fair odds 1.90First team to scoreHome50%Fair odds 1.99Win to nilHome26%Fair odds 3.91
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Both teams score | 47% |
Most likely scores
- 1-114%
- 1-011.8%
- 0-010.9%
- 0-18.9%
- 2-18.5%
Recent form
São Paulo
- LBahia 3-2 São Paulo
- DMirassol 1-1 São Paulo
- WSão Paulo 1-0 Vasco da Gama
- WSão Paulo 2-1 Vitória
- LCruzeiro 2-0 São Paulo
Corinthians
- WCorinthians 2-0 Mirassol
- LVasco da Gama 3-2 Corinthians
- DCorinthians 1-1 Vitória
- LPalmeiras 4-1 Corinthians
- LInternacional 2-1 Corinthians
Head to head
- LCorinthians 3-2 São Paulo
- LCorinthians 3-1 São Paulo
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.