Cruzeiro vs Bahia prediction

Friday 6 November 2026, 01:30, Estadio Mineirão

Our prediction

The model gives Cruzeiro a 48% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 26% for Bahia. Expected goals: Cruzeiro 1.7, Bahia 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams score59%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.9%
  • 2-19.6%
  • 1-08.2%
  • 2-07.9%
  • 1-26.7%

Recent form

Cruzeiro

  • WAtlético-MG 0-1 Cruzeiro
  • WCruzeiro 1-0 Remo
  • WGrêmio 2-4 Cruzeiro
  • LRed Bull Bragantino 4-2 Cruzeiro
  • WCruzeiro 2-0 São Paulo

Bahia

  • WBahia 3-2 São Paulo
  • DSantos 1-1 Bahia
  • LBahia 0-3 Flamengo
  • WBahia 1-0 Mirassol
  • LPalmeiras 1-0 Bahia

Head to head

  • WBahia 1-2 Cruzeiro
  • WBahia 1-2 Cruzeiro

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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