Atlético-MG vs Red Bull Bragantino prediction
Saturday 3 October 2026, 22:30, Arena MRV
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Atlético-MG a 46% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 25% for Red Bull Bragantino. Expected goals: Atlético-MG 1.4, Red Bull Bragantino 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
CAM46%Draw29%BRA25%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home46%✓Fair odds 2.20Double chanceHome or draw75%✓Fair odds 1.34Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.558%✓Fair odds 1.73Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.570%✗Fair odds 1.44Both teams to scoreNo52%✓Fair odds 1.92Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.28Draw no betHome64%✓Fair odds 1.56Asian handicapAway +1.578%✓Fair odds 1.29Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome53%✓Fair odds 1.90Win to nilHome27%✓Fair odds 3.66
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% |
| Both teams score | 48% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.7%
- 1-012%
- 0-010.4%
- 2-09.1%
- 2-18.9%
Recent form
Atlético-MG
- DAtlético-MG 1-1 Chapecoense
- WAtlético-MG 3-1 Fluminense
- LSão Paulo 2-0 Atlético-MG
- WAtlético-MG 2-1 Vitória
- DInternacional 0-0 Atlético-MG
Red Bull Bragantino
- LFlamengo 2-1 Red Bull Bragantino
- DBotafogo 1-1 Red Bull Bragantino
- LRed Bull Bragantino 2-3 Bahia
- LSão Paulo 2-1 Red Bull Bragantino
- WRed Bull Bragantino 1-0 Grêmio
Head to head
- LRed Bull Bragantino 1-0 Atlético-MG
- LRed Bull Bragantino 2-0 Atlético-MG
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.