Botafogo vs Chapecoense prediction
Saturday 17 October 2026, 22:00, Joao Havelange Stadium
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Botafogo a 63% chance of winning, 21% for a draw and 17% for Chapecoense. Expected goals: Botafogo 2.3, Chapecoense 1.1. Most likely score: 2-1.
BOT63%Draw21%CHA17%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home63%✓Fair odds 1.59Double chanceHome or draw83%✓Fair odds 1.20Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.565%✗Fair odds 1.53Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.586%✗Fair odds 1.17Both teams to scoreYes61%✗Fair odds 1.65Correct score2-110%✗Fair odds 10.26Draw no betHome79%✓Fair odds 1.27Asian handicapHome -0.563%✓Fair odds 1.59Odd/Even goalsEven51%✗Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome64%✓Fair odds 1.55Win to nilHome29%✓Fair odds 3.45
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% |
| Both teams score | 61% |
Most likely scores
- 2-19.8%
- 1-19.3%
- 2-08.8%
- 3-17.4%
- 1-07.1%
Recent form
Botafogo
- DCoritiba 1-1 Botafogo
- LBotafogo 1-2 Vasco da Gama
- LMirassol 2-0 Botafogo
- WBotafogo 3-2 Grêmio
- DBotafogo 1-1 Red Bull Bragantino
Chapecoense
- LChapecoense 1-4 Athletico-PR
- LVitória 4-0 Chapecoense
- DAtlético-MG 1-1 Chapecoense
- LChapecoense 1-2 Internacional
- WCorinthians 1-2 Chapecoense
Head to head
- WChapecoense 1-4 Botafogo
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.