Botafogo vs Grêmio prediction
Wednesday 16 September 2026, 23:30, Joao Havelange Stadium
Full time: 3-2
Our prediction
The model gives Botafogo a 48% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 25% for Grêmio. Expected goals: Botafogo 1.6, Grêmio 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
BOT48%Draw26%GRE25%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home48%✓Fair odds 2.06Double chanceHome or draw75%✓Fair odds 1.34Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.553%✓Fair odds 1.90Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.578%✓Fair odds 1.29Both teams to scoreYes56%✓Fair odds 1.79Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.01Draw no betHome66%✓Fair odds 1.52Asian handicapAway +1.574%✓Fair odds 1.35Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome55%✓Fair odds 1.82Win to nilHome25%✗Fair odds 3.99
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Both teams score | 56% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.5%
- 2-19.5%
- 1-09.3%
- 2-08.4%
- 0-07.1%
Recent form
Botafogo
- DBotafogo 1-1 Red Bull Bragantino
- DBotafogo 0-0 Palmeiras
- LFlamengo 3-0 Botafogo
- LBotafogo 2-3 Athletico-PR
- LVitória 1-0 Botafogo
Grêmio
- LGrêmio 1-2 Vasco da Gama
- LVitória 1-0 Grêmio
- WGrêmio 3-1 Chapecoense
- LRed Bull Bragantino 1-0 Grêmio
- LAtlético-MG 3-0 Grêmio
Head to head
- LGrêmio 5-3 Botafogo
- WBotafogo 3-2 Grêmio
- DGrêmio 1-1 Botafogo
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.