Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR prediction
Monday 12 October 2026, 23:30, Arena Condá
Full time: 1-4
Our prediction
The model gives Chapecoense a 21% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 57% for Athletico-PR. Expected goals: Chapecoense 1.2, Athletico-PR 2.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
CHA21%Draw23%CAP57%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away57%✓Fair odds 1.76Double chanceAway or draw79%✓Fair odds 1.26Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.563%✓Fair odds 1.60Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.584%✓Fair odds 1.19Both teams to scoreYes61%✓Fair odds 1.64Correct score1-110%✗Fair odds 9.66Draw no betAway73%✓Fair odds 1.36Asian handicapAway -0.557%✓Fair odds 1.76Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreAway61%✓Fair odds 1.65Win to nilAway26%✗Fair odds 3.83
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Both teams score | 61% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.4%
- 1-29.8%
- 0-28.4%
- 0-17.4%
- 1-36.7%
Recent form
Chapecoense
- LVitória 4-0 Chapecoense
- DAtlético-MG 1-1 Chapecoense
- LChapecoense 1-2 Internacional
- WCorinthians 1-2 Chapecoense
- LGrêmio 3-1 Chapecoense
Athletico-PR
- DAthletico-PR 2-2 Atlético-MG
- WAthletico-PR 2-1 Bahia
- DCoritiba 3-3 Athletico-PR
- LCruzeiro 3-1 Athletico-PR
- DAthletico-PR 3-3 Fluminense
Head to head
- LAthletico-PR 2-0 Chapecoense
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.