Chapecoense vs Fluminense prediction
Saturday 24 October 2026, 23:30, Arena Condá
Full time: 2-1
Our prediction
The model gives Chapecoense a 17% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 60% for Fluminense. Expected goals: Chapecoense 1.0, Fluminense 2.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
CHA17%Draw22%FLU60%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away60%✗Fair odds 1.65Double chanceAway or draw83%✗Fair odds 1.21Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.559%✓Fair odds 1.70Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.582%✓Fair odds 1.23Both teams to scoreYes56%✓Fair odds 1.78Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.49Draw no betAway78%✗Fair odds 1.28Asian handicapAway -0.560%✗Fair odds 1.65Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreAway63%✗Fair odds 1.58Win to nilAway31%✗Fair odds 3.23
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Both teams score | 56% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.5%
- 1-210%
- 0-29.9%
- 0-18.9%
- 1-36.8%
Recent form
Chapecoense
- LBotafogo 1-0 Chapecoense
- LChapecoense 1-4 Athletico-PR
- LVitória 4-0 Chapecoense
- DAtlético-MG 1-1 Chapecoense
- LChapecoense 1-2 Internacional
Fluminense
- LFluminense 1-2 Santos
- LFlamengo 1-0 Fluminense
- WFluminense 4-0 Coritiba
- WCorinthians 1-3 Fluminense
- LAtlético-MG 3-1 Fluminense
Head to head
- LFluminense 2-1 Chapecoense
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.