Corinthians vs Chapecoense prediction
Sunday 6 September 2026, 23:30, Neo Química Arena
Full time: 1-2
Our prediction
The model gives Corinthians a 60% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 16% for Chapecoense. Expected goals: Corinthians 1.8, Chapecoense 0.8. Most likely score: 1-0.
COR60%Draw24%CHA16%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home60%✗Fair odds 1.66Double chanceHome or draw84%✗Fair odds 1.19Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.551%✗Fair odds 1.97Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.575%✓Fair odds 1.33Both teams to scoreNo52%✗Fair odds 1.92Correct score1-012%✗Fair odds 8.29Draw no betHome79%✗Fair odds 1.26Asian handicapHome -0.560%✗Fair odds 1.66Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome63%✓Fair odds 1.58Win to nilHome36%✗Fair odds 2.79
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Both teams score | 48% |
Most likely scores
- 1-012.1%
- 2-011.8%
- 1-111.5%
- 2-19.7%
- 0-08%
Recent form
Corinthians
- LCorinthians 0-1 Santos
- LCoritiba 2-1 Corinthians
- LCorinthians 1-2 Cruzeiro
- WRed Bull Bragantino 0-2 Corinthians
- DCorinthians 0-0 Athletico-PR
Chapecoense
- LGrêmio 3-1 Chapecoense
- WChapecoense 1-0 São Paulo
- DChapecoense 3-3 Bahia
- LCoritiba 2-1 Chapecoense
- DSantos 2-2 Chapecoense
Head to head
- DChapecoense 0-0 Corinthians
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.