Corinthians vs Fluminense prediction
Sunday 20 September 2026, 20:00, Neo Química Arena
Full time: 1-3
Our prediction
The model gives Corinthians a 34% chance of winning, 31% for a draw and 35% for Fluminense. Expected goals: Corinthians 1.1, Fluminense 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
COR34%Draw31%FLU35%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away35%✓Fair odds 2.85Double chanceEither team69%✓Fair odds 1.45Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.562%✗Fair odds 1.62Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.566%✓Fair odds 1.51Both teams to scoreNo54%✗Fair odds 1.85Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 6.92Draw no betAway51%✓Fair odds 1.97Asian handicapHome +0.565%✗Fair odds 1.54Odd/Even goalsEven53%✓Fair odds 1.90First team to scoreAway45%✓Fair odds 2.25Win to nilAway21%✗Fair odds 4.67
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% |
| Both teams score | 46% |
Most likely scores
- 1-114.5%
- 0-011.9%
- 0-111.1%
- 1-010.9%
- 1-27.5%
Recent form
Corinthians
- LFlamengo 2-1 Corinthians
- LCorinthians 1-2 Chapecoense
- LCorinthians 0-1 Santos
- LCoritiba 2-1 Corinthians
- LCorinthians 1-2 Cruzeiro
Fluminense
- LAtlético-MG 3-1 Fluminense
- WFluminense 1-0 Vasco da Gama
- DAthletico-PR 3-3 Fluminense
- WFluminense 2-1 Remo
- WFluminense 3-2 Palmeiras
Head to head
- LFluminense 3-1 Corinthians
- WFluminense 0-1 Corinthians
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.