Corinthians vs Vitória prediction
Tuesday 20 October 2026, 00:00, Neo Química Arena
Full time: 1-1
Our prediction
The model gives Corinthians a 43% chance of winning, 30% for a draw and 27% for Vitória. Expected goals: Corinthians 1.3, Vitória 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
COR43%Draw30%VIT27%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home43%✗Fair odds 2.35Double chanceHome or draw73%✓Fair odds 1.38Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.559%✓Fair odds 1.68Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.568%✓Fair odds 1.47Both teams to scoreNo53%✗Fair odds 1.89Correct score1-114%✓Fair odds 7.12Draw no betHome61%Fair odds 1.64Asian handicapAway +0.557%✓Fair odds 1.74Odd/Even goalsEven53%✓Fair odds 1.90First team to scoreHome50%✗Fair odds 1.98Win to nilHome26%✗Fair odds 3.87
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Both teams score | 47% |
Most likely scores
- 1-114.1%
- 1-012%
- 0-011%
- 0-18.9%
- 2-08.5%
Recent form
Corinthians
- LPalmeiras 4-1 Corinthians
- LInternacional 2-1 Corinthians
- LCorinthians 1-3 Fluminense
- LFlamengo 2-1 Corinthians
- LCorinthians 1-2 Chapecoense
Vitória
- LSão Paulo 2-1 Vitória
- WVitória 4-0 Chapecoense
- LVitória 1-3 Cruzeiro
- DMirassol 2-2 Vitória
- WVitória 1-0 Grêmio
Head to head
- DVitória 0-0 Corinthians
- WVitória 0-1 Corinthians
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.