Flamengo vs Corinthians prediction

Sunday 13 September 2026, 21:30, Estadio do Maracana

Full time: 2-1

Our prediction

The model gives Flamengo a 63% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 13% for Corinthians. Expected goals: Flamengo 1.8, Corinthians 0.7. Most likely score: 1-0.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams score42%

Most likely scores

  • 1-014.5%
  • 2-013.6%
  • 1-111.1%
  • 0-09.4%
  • 2-19.2%

Recent form

Flamengo

  • WRemo 0-1 Flamengo
  • WFlamengo 2-0 Mirassol
  • WFlamengo 3-0 Botafogo
  • LCruzeiro 2-1 Flamengo
  • WMirassol 1-5 Flamengo

Corinthians

  • LCorinthians 1-2 Chapecoense
  • LCorinthians 0-1 Santos
  • LCoritiba 2-1 Corinthians
  • LCorinthians 1-2 Cruzeiro
  • WRed Bull Bragantino 0-2 Corinthians

Head to head

  • DCorinthians 1-1 Flamengo
  • WCorinthians 1-2 Flamengo

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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