Flamengo vs Fluminense prediction
Sunday 11 October 2026, 21:30, Estadio do Maracana
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Flamengo a 58% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 18% for Fluminense. Expected goals: Flamengo 1.9, Fluminense 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
FLA58%Draw24%FLU18%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home58%✓Fair odds 1.74Double chanceHome or draw82%✓Fair odds 1.22Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.553%✗Fair odds 1.87Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.578%✗Fair odds 1.28Both teams to scoreYes53%✗Fair odds 1.89Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.69Draw no betHome76%✓Fair odds 1.32Asian handicapHome -0.558%✓Fair odds 1.74Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome61%✓Fair odds 1.63Win to nilHome31%✓Fair odds 3.18
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Both teams score | 53% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.5%
- 2-010.3%
- 1-010.2%
- 2-19.9%
- 0-06.8%
Recent form
Flamengo
- DSantos 2-2 Flamengo
- WFlamengo 2-1 Red Bull Bragantino
- WFlamengo 2-1 Corinthians
- WRemo 0-1 Flamengo
- WFlamengo 2-0 Mirassol
Fluminense
- WFluminense 4-0 Coritiba
- WCorinthians 1-3 Fluminense
- LAtlético-MG 3-1 Fluminense
- WFluminense 1-0 Vasco da Gama
- DAthletico-PR 3-3 Fluminense
Head to head
- WFluminense 1-2 Flamengo
- LFluminense 2-1 Flamengo
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.