Fluminense vs Coritiba prediction
Friday 9 October 2026, 01:30, Estadio do Maracana
Full time: 4-0
Our prediction
The model gives Fluminense a 60% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 18% for Coritiba. Expected goals: Fluminense 2.1, Coritiba 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
FLU60%Draw22%CFC18%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home60%✓Fair odds 1.67Double chanceHome or draw82%✓Fair odds 1.22Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.561%✓Fair odds 1.65Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.583%✓Fair odds 1.21Both teams to scoreYes58%✗Fair odds 1.72Correct score1-110%✗Fair odds 9.68Draw no betHome77%✓Fair odds 1.30Asian handicapHome -0.560%✓Fair odds 1.67Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome63%✓Fair odds 1.59Win to nilHome29%✓Fair odds 3.40
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Both teams score | 58% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.3%
- 2-19.9%
- 2-09.3%
- 1-08.2%
- 3-16.9%
Recent form
Fluminense
- WCorinthians 1-3 Fluminense
- LAtlético-MG 3-1 Fluminense
- WFluminense 1-0 Vasco da Gama
- DAthletico-PR 3-3 Fluminense
- WFluminense 2-1 Remo
Coritiba
- LVasco da Gama 5-0 Coritiba
- DCoritiba 3-3 Athletico-PR
- LCoritiba 1-2 Mirassol
- WRemo 2-3 Coritiba
- WCoritiba 2-1 Corinthians
Head to head
- DCoritiba 1-1 Fluminense
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.