Fluminense vs Santos prediction

Sunday 18 October 2026, 20:00, Estadio do Maracana

Full time: 1-2

Our prediction

The model gives Fluminense a 52% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 24% for Santos. Expected goals: Fluminense 1.8, Santos 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams score58%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.6%
  • 2-19.7%
  • 1-08.4%
  • 2-08.4%
  • 1-26.3%

Recent form

Fluminense

  • LFlamengo 1-0 Fluminense
  • WFluminense 4-0 Coritiba
  • WCorinthians 1-3 Fluminense
  • LAtlético-MG 3-1 Fluminense
  • WFluminense 1-0 Vasco da Gama

Santos

  • LAtlético-MG 2-1 Santos
  • DSantos 2-2 Flamengo
  • WSão Paulo 1-2 Santos
  • WRemo 1-2 Santos
  • WSantos 2-1 Cruzeiro

Head to head

  • WSantos 2-3 Fluminense

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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