Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama prediction
Sunday 6 September 2026, 01:00, Estadio do Maracana
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Fluminense a 62% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 16% for Vasco da Gama. Expected goals: Fluminense 2.0, Vasco da Gama 0.9. Most likely score: 1-1.
FLU62%Draw22%VAS16%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home62%✓Fair odds 1.62Double chanceHome or draw84%✓Fair odds 1.19Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.557%✗Fair odds 1.75Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.580%✗Fair odds 1.24Both teams to scoreYes54%✗Fair odds 1.86Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.46Draw no betHome80%✓Fair odds 1.26Asian handicapHome -0.562%✓Fair odds 1.62Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome64%✓Fair odds 1.56Win to nilHome33%✓Fair odds 3.02
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% |
| Both teams score | 54% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.6%
- 2-010.6%
- 2-19.9%
- 1-09.6%
- 3-07.1%
Recent form
Fluminense
- DAthletico-PR 3-3 Fluminense
- WFluminense 2-1 Remo
- WFluminense 3-2 Palmeiras
- DBotafogo 1-1 Fluminense
- DFluminense 0-0 Bahia
Vasco da Gama
- WVasco da Gama 3-1 Cruzeiro
- LPalmeiras 4-1 Vasco da Gama
- LVasco da Gama 0-3 Santos
- DBahia 0-0 Vasco da Gama
- DVasco da Gama 1-1 Mirassol
Head to head
- LVasco da Gama 3-2 Fluminense
- LVasco da Gama 2-0 Fluminense
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.