Palmeiras vs Corinthians prediction
Sunday 11 October 2026, 21:30, Allianz Parque
Full time: 4-1
Our prediction
The model gives Palmeiras a 62% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 13% for Corinthians. Expected goals: Palmeiras 1.7, Corinthians 0.6. Most likely score: 1-0.
PAL62%Draw25%COR13%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home62%✓Fair odds 1.62Double chanceHome or draw87%✓Fair odds 1.15Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.559%✗Fair odds 1.69Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.568%✓Fair odds 1.47Both teams to scoreNo61%✗Fair odds 1.64Correct score1-016%✗Fair odds 6.36Draw no betHome83%✓Fair odds 1.21Asian handicapHome -0.562%✓Fair odds 1.62Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome65%✓Fair odds 1.55Win to nilHome42%✗Fair odds 2.38
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Both teams score | 39% |
Most likely scores
- 1-015.7%
- 2-013.9%
- 1-111.4%
- 0-010.8%
- 2-18.9%
Recent form
Palmeiras
- WPalmeiras 1-0 Bahia
- DGrêmio 0-0 Palmeiras
- WPalmeiras 2-0 São Paulo
- DBotafogo 0-0 Palmeiras
- DMirassol 1-1 Palmeiras
Corinthians
- LInternacional 2-1 Corinthians
- LCorinthians 1-3 Fluminense
- LFlamengo 2-1 Corinthians
- LCorinthians 1-2 Chapecoense
- LCorinthians 0-1 Santos
Head to head
- DCorinthians 0-0 Palmeiras
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.