Santos vs Bahia prediction
Sunday 25 October 2026, 01:00, Estádio Vila Belmiro (Urbano Caldeira)
Full time: 1-1
Our prediction
The model gives Santos a 47% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 27% for Bahia. Expected goals: Santos 1.7, Bahia 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
SAN47%Draw26%BAH27%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home47%✗Fair odds 2.11Double chanceEither team74%✗Fair odds 1.34Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.556%✗Fair odds 1.77Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.580%✓Fair odds 1.25Both teams to scoreYes59%✓Fair odds 1.70Correct score1-112%✓Fair odds 8.31Draw no betHome64%Fair odds 1.57Asian handicapAway +1.574%✓Fair odds 1.35Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome54%✗Fair odds 1.84Win to nilHome23%✗Fair odds 4.39
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Both teams score | 59% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 2-19.5%
- 1-08.1%
- 2-07.6%
- 1-26.9%
Recent form
Santos
- WFluminense 1-2 Santos
- LAtlético-MG 2-1 Santos
- DSantos 2-2 Flamengo
- WSão Paulo 1-2 Santos
- WRemo 1-2 Santos
Bahia
- LBahia 0-3 Flamengo
- WBahia 1-0 Mirassol
- LPalmeiras 1-0 Bahia
- LAthletico-PR 2-1 Bahia
- WBahia 2-1 Remo
Head to head
- DBahia 2-2 Santos
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.