Santos vs Cruzeiro prediction
Sunday 13 September 2026, 01:00, Estádio Vila Belmiro (Urbano Caldeira)
Full time: 2-1
Our prediction
The model gives Santos a 41% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 32% for Cruzeiro. Expected goals: Santos 1.6, Cruzeiro 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
SAN41%Draw26%CRU32%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home41%✓Fair odds 2.41Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.35Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.557%✓Fair odds 1.76Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.580%✓Fair odds 1.24Both teams to scoreYes60%✓Fair odds 1.66Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.19Draw no betHome56%✓Fair odds 1.78Asian handicapAway +0.559%✗Fair odds 1.71Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome50%✓Fair odds 1.99Win to nilHome19%✗Fair odds 5.22
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Both teams score | 60% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.2%
- 2-18.9%
- 1-27.8%
- 1-07.3%
- 2-06.5%
Recent form
Santos
- WInternacional 2-3 Santos
- WCorinthians 0-1 Santos
- DSantos 1-1 Mirassol
- WVasco da Gama 0-3 Santos
- LSantos 0-2 Athletico-PR
Cruzeiro
- WCruzeiro 3-1 Athletico-PR
- LVasco da Gama 3-1 Cruzeiro
- WCruzeiro 2-1 Flamengo
- WCorinthians 1-2 Cruzeiro
- WCruzeiro 3-1 Mirassol
Head to head
- DCruzeiro 0-0 Santos
- WSantos 3-0 Cruzeiro
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.