Santos vs Flamengo prediction
Thursday 8 October 2026, 23:30, Estádio Vila Belmiro (Urbano Caldeira)
Full time: 2-2
Our prediction
The model gives Santos a 26% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 48% for Flamengo. Expected goals: Santos 1.2, Flamengo 1.7. Most likely score: 1-1.
SAN26%Draw26%FLA48%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away48%✗Fair odds 2.08Double chanceEither team74%✗Fair odds 1.35Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.555%✓Fair odds 1.81Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.579%✓Fair odds 1.26Both teams to scoreYes58%✓Fair odds 1.73Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.22Draw no betAway65%Fair odds 1.54Asian handicapHome +1.574%✓Fair odds 1.36Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway55%✓Fair odds 1.82Win to nilAway24%✗Fair odds 4.20
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams score | 58% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.2%
- 1-29.5%
- 0-18.5%
- 0-28%
- 2-16.7%
Recent form
Santos
- WSão Paulo 1-2 Santos
- WRemo 1-2 Santos
- WSantos 2-1 Cruzeiro
- WInternacional 2-3 Santos
- WCorinthians 0-1 Santos
Flamengo
- WFlamengo 2-1 Red Bull Bragantino
- WFlamengo 2-1 Corinthians
- WRemo 0-1 Flamengo
- WFlamengo 2-0 Mirassol
- WFlamengo 3-0 Botafogo
Head to head
- LFlamengo 3-1 Santos
- LFlamengo 3-2 Santos
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.