São Paulo vs Santos prediction
Saturday 3 October 2026, 00:00, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Full time: 1-2
Our prediction
The model gives São Paulo a 38% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 33% for Santos. Expected goals: São Paulo 1.3, Santos 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
SAO38%Draw29%SAN33%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home38%✗Fair odds 2.63Double chanceEither team71%✓Fair odds 1.40Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.553%✗Fair odds 1.89Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.573%✓Fair odds 1.36Both teams to scoreYes53%✓Fair odds 1.89Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.32Draw no betHome53%✗Fair odds 1.88Asian handicapAway +0.562%✓Fair odds 1.61Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome47%✓Fair odds 2.11Win to nilHome21%✗Fair odds 4.87
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Both teams score | 53% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.7%
- 1-09.3%
- 0-08.8%
- 0-18.5%
- 2-18.4%
Recent form
São Paulo
- WSão Paulo 1-0 Internacional
- LPalmeiras 2-0 São Paulo
- WSão Paulo 2-0 Atlético-MG
- WSão Paulo 2-1 Red Bull Bragantino
- LChapecoense 1-0 São Paulo
Santos
- WRemo 1-2 Santos
- WSantos 2-1 Cruzeiro
- WInternacional 2-3 Santos
- WCorinthians 0-1 Santos
- DSantos 1-1 Mirassol
Head to head
- DSantos 1-1 São Paulo
- LSantos 1-0 São Paulo
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.