Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians prediction
Saturday 24 October 2026, 22:30, Estádio São Januário
Full time: 3-2
Our prediction
The model gives Vasco da Gama a 44% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 28% for Corinthians. Expected goals: Vasco da Gama 1.4, Corinthians 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
VAS44%Draw29%COR28%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home44%✓Fair odds 2.30Double chanceHome or draw72%✓Fair odds 1.38Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.556%✗Fair odds 1.80Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.571%✓Fair odds 1.40Both teams to scoreYes50%✓Fair odds 1.99Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.29Draw no betHome61%✓Fair odds 1.63Asian handicapAway +0.556%✗Fair odds 1.77Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome51%✓Fair odds 1.95Win to nilHome25%✗Fair odds 4.00
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% |
| Both teams score | 50% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.7%
- 1-011%
- 0-09.6%
- 2-18.9%
- 2-08.4%
Recent form
Vasco da Gama
- LSão Paulo 1-0 Vasco da Gama
- DVasco da Gama 0-0 Remo
- WBotafogo 1-2 Vasco da Gama
- WVasco da Gama 5-0 Coritiba
- WGrêmio 1-2 Vasco da Gama
Corinthians
- DCorinthians 1-1 Vitória
- LPalmeiras 4-1 Corinthians
- LInternacional 2-1 Corinthians
- LCorinthians 1-3 Fluminense
- LFlamengo 2-1 Corinthians
Head to head
- LCorinthians 1-0 Vasco da Gama
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.