Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG prediction
Friday 9 October 2026, 00:00, Arena da Baixada
Full time: 2-2
Our prediction
The model gives Athletico-PR a 46% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 26% for Atlético-MG. Expected goals: Athletico-PR 1.5, Atlético-MG 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
CAP46%Draw28%CAM26%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home46%✗Fair odds 2.18Double chanceHome or draw74%✓Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.552%✗Fair odds 1.91Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.574%✓Fair odds 1.35Both teams to scoreYes52%✓Fair odds 1.91Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.54Draw no betHome63%Fair odds 1.58Asian handicapAway +1.577%✓Fair odds 1.31Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome53%✓Fair odds 1.88Win to nilHome25%✗Fair odds 3.95
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Both teams score | 52% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.3%
- 1-010.4%
- 2-19.2%
- 0-08.5%
- 2-08.5%
Recent form
Athletico-PR
- WAthletico-PR 2-1 Bahia
- DCoritiba 3-3 Athletico-PR
- LCruzeiro 3-1 Athletico-PR
- DAthletico-PR 3-3 Fluminense
- WBotafogo 2-3 Athletico-PR
Atlético-MG
- WAtlético-MG 1-0 Red Bull Bragantino
- DAtlético-MG 1-1 Chapecoense
- WAtlético-MG 3-1 Fluminense
- LSão Paulo 2-0 Atlético-MG
- WAtlético-MG 2-1 Vitória
Head to head
- LAtlético-MG 2-1 Athletico-PR
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.