Atlético-MG vs Fluminense prediction
Saturday 12 September 2026, 20:00, Arena MRV
Full time: 3-1
Our prediction
The model gives Atlético-MG a 37% chance of winning, 30% for a draw and 34% for Fluminense. Expected goals: Atlético-MG 1.2, Fluminense 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
CAM37%Draw30%FLU34%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home37%✓Fair odds 2.74Double chanceEither team70%✓Fair odds 1.42Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.557%✗Fair odds 1.76Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.570%✓Fair odds 1.42Both teams to scoreNo50%✗Fair odds 1.99Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.09Draw no betHome52%✓Fair odds 1.92Asian handicapAway +0.563%✗Fair odds 1.58Odd/Even goalsEven53%✓Fair odds 1.90First team to scoreHome46%✓Fair odds 2.17Win to nilHome21%✗Fair odds 4.79
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% |
| Both teams score | 50% |
Most likely scores
- 1-114.1%
- 0-010.1%
- 1-010.1%
- 0-19.6%
- 2-18%
Recent form
Atlético-MG
- LSão Paulo 2-0 Atlético-MG
- WAtlético-MG 2-1 Vitória
- DInternacional 0-0 Atlético-MG
- WAtlético-MG 3-0 Grêmio
- DRemo 2-2 Atlético-MG
Fluminense
- WFluminense 1-0 Vasco da Gama
- DAthletico-PR 3-3 Fluminense
- WFluminense 2-1 Remo
- WFluminense 3-2 Palmeiras
- DBotafogo 1-1 Fluminense
Head to head
- LFluminense 1-0 Atlético-MG
- LFluminense 3-0 Atlético-MG
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.