Bahia vs Mirassol prediction
Sunday 11 October 2026, 23:30, Arena Fonte Nova
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Bahia a 49% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 25% for Mirassol. Expected goals: Bahia 1.7, Mirassol 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
BAH49%Draw26%MIR25%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home49%✓Fair odds 2.05Double chanceHome or draw75%✓Fair odds 1.34Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.553%✗Fair odds 1.88Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.578%✗Fair odds 1.28Both teams to scoreYes56%✗Fair odds 1.78Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.07Draw no betHome66%✓Fair odds 1.51Asian handicapAway +1.573%✓Fair odds 1.36Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome55%✓Fair odds 1.81Win to nilHome25%✓Fair odds 3.99
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Both teams score | 56% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.4%
- 2-19.6%
- 1-09.2%
- 2-08.4%
- 0-07%
Recent form
Bahia
- LPalmeiras 1-0 Bahia
- LAthletico-PR 2-1 Bahia
- WBahia 2-1 Remo
- WRed Bull Bragantino 2-3 Bahia
- WBahia 3-2 Internacional
Mirassol
- DRed Bull Bragantino 1-1 Mirassol
- WMirassol 2-0 Botafogo
- DMirassol 2-2 Vitória
- WCoritiba 1-2 Mirassol
- LFlamengo 2-0 Mirassol
Head to head
- WMirassol 1-2 Bahia
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.