Cruzeiro vs São Paulo prediction
Thursday 8 October 2026, 01:30, Estadio Mineirão
Full time: 2-0
Our prediction
The model gives Cruzeiro a 50% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 23% for São Paulo. Expected goals: Cruzeiro 1.6, São Paulo 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
CRU50%Draw27%SAO23%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home50%✓Fair odds 2.01Double chanceHome or draw77%✓Fair odds 1.30Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.553%✓Fair odds 1.90Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.574%✓Fair odds 1.36Both teams to scoreYes51%✗Fair odds 1.97Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.71Draw no betHome68%✓Fair odds 1.46Asian handicapAway +1.574%✗Fair odds 1.36Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome56%✓Fair odds 1.79Win to nilHome28%✓Fair odds 3.53
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Both teams score | 51% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-011.1%
- 2-09.5%
- 2-19.4%
- 0-08.7%
Recent form
Cruzeiro
- WVitória 1-3 Cruzeiro
- LSantos 2-1 Cruzeiro
- WCruzeiro 3-1 Athletico-PR
- LVasco da Gama 3-1 Cruzeiro
- WCruzeiro 2-1 Flamengo
São Paulo
- LSão Paulo 1-2 Santos
- WSão Paulo 1-0 Internacional
- LPalmeiras 2-0 São Paulo
- WSão Paulo 2-0 Atlético-MG
- WSão Paulo 2-1 Red Bull Bragantino
Head to head
- LSão Paulo 4-1 Cruzeiro
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.