Grêmio vs Cruzeiro prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 20:00, Arena do Grêmio
Full time: 2-4
Our prediction
The model gives Grêmio a 32% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 40% for Cruzeiro. Expected goals: Grêmio 1.2, Cruzeiro 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
GRE32%Draw28%CRU40%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away40%✓Fair odds 2.51Double chanceEither team72%✓Fair odds 1.40Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.552%✗Fair odds 1.92Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.574%✓Fair odds 1.35Both teams to scoreYes54%✓Fair odds 1.87Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.39Draw no betAway56%✓Fair odds 1.80Asian handicapHome +0.560%✗Fair odds 1.66Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreAway49%✗Fair odds 2.05Win to nilAway21%✗Fair odds 4.69
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Both teams score | 54% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.5%
- 0-19.4%
- 1-28.6%
- 0-08.5%
- 1-08.1%
Recent form
Grêmio
- DGrêmio 1-1 Internacional
- DRemo 1-1 Grêmio
- DGrêmio 0-0 Palmeiras
- LBotafogo 3-2 Grêmio
- LGrêmio 1-2 Vasco da Gama
Cruzeiro
- LRed Bull Bragantino 4-2 Cruzeiro
- WCruzeiro 2-0 São Paulo
- WVitória 1-3 Cruzeiro
- LSantos 2-1 Cruzeiro
- WCruzeiro 3-1 Athletico-PR
Head to head
- LCruzeiro 2-0 Grêmio
- LGrêmio 0-1 Cruzeiro
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.