Grêmio vs Palmeiras prediction
Sunday 20 September 2026, 15:00, Arena do Grêmio
Full time: 0-0
Our prediction
The model gives Grêmio a 19% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 54% for Palmeiras. Expected goals: Grêmio 0.9, Palmeiras 1.6. Most likely score: 1-1.
GRE19%Draw27%PAL54%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away54%✗Fair odds 1.86Double chanceAway or draw81%✓Fair odds 1.24Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.555%✓Fair odds 1.83Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.572%✗Fair odds 1.39Both teams to scoreNo52%✓Fair odds 1.91Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.89Draw no betAway73%Fair odds 1.36Asian handicapHome +1.571%✓Fair odds 1.42Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreAway59%✗Fair odds 1.70Win to nilAway32%✗Fair odds 3.08
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Both teams score | 48% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.7%
- 0-112.5%
- 0-210.8%
- 1-29.5%
- 0-09.3%
Recent form
Grêmio
- LBotafogo 3-2 Grêmio
- LGrêmio 1-2 Vasco da Gama
- LVitória 1-0 Grêmio
- WGrêmio 3-1 Chapecoense
- LRed Bull Bragantino 1-0 Grêmio
Palmeiras
- WPalmeiras 2-0 São Paulo
- DBotafogo 0-0 Palmeiras
- DMirassol 1-1 Palmeiras
- WPalmeiras 4-1 Vasco da Gama
- LFluminense 3-2 Palmeiras
Head to head
- LPalmeiras 2-1 Grêmio
- WGrêmio 3-2 Palmeiras
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.