Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama prediction
Saturday 12 September 2026, 20:00, Arena do Grêmio
Full time: 1-2
Our prediction
The model gives Grêmio a 49% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 24% for Vasco da Gama. Expected goals: Grêmio 1.6, Vasco da Gama 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
GRE49%Draw27%VAS24%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home49%✗Fair odds 2.04Double chanceHome or draw76%✗Fair odds 1.32Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.551%✓Fair odds 1.97Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.576%✓Fair odds 1.31Both teams to scoreYes54%✓Fair odds 1.85Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.90Draw no betHome67%✗Fair odds 1.50Asian handicapAway +1.574%✓Fair odds 1.36Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome55%✓Fair odds 1.80Win to nilHome26%✗Fair odds 3.81
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Both teams score | 54% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.7%
- 1-09.9%
- 2-19.5%
- 2-08.8%
- 0-07.6%
Recent form
Grêmio
- LVitória 1-0 Grêmio
- WGrêmio 3-1 Chapecoense
- LRed Bull Bragantino 1-0 Grêmio
- LAtlético-MG 3-0 Grêmio
- WGrêmio 2-1 São Paulo
Vasco da Gama
- LFluminense 1-0 Vasco da Gama
- WVasco da Gama 3-1 Cruzeiro
- LPalmeiras 4-1 Vasco da Gama
- LVasco da Gama 0-3 Santos
- DBahia 0-0 Vasco da Gama
Head to head
- LVasco da Gama 2-1 Grêmio
- WGrêmio 2-0 Vasco da Gama
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.