Palmeiras vs São Paulo prediction
Saturday 12 September 2026, 22:30, Allianz Parque
Full time: 2-0
Our prediction
The model gives Palmeiras a 61% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 14% for São Paulo. Expected goals: Palmeiras 1.8, São Paulo 0.8. Most likely score: 1-0.
PAL61%Draw24%SAO14%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home61%✓Fair odds 1.63Double chanceHome or draw86%✓Fair odds 1.17Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.553%✓Fair odds 1.88Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.573%✓Fair odds 1.37Both teams to scoreNo55%✓Fair odds 1.81Correct score1-013%✗Fair odds 7.55Draw no betHome81%✓Fair odds 1.23Asian handicapHome -0.561%✓Fair odds 1.63Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome64%✓Fair odds 1.56Win to nilHome38%✓Fair odds 2.60
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Both teams score | 45% |
Most likely scores
- 1-013.2%
- 2-012.6%
- 1-111.4%
- 2-19.5%
- 0-08.7%
Recent form
Palmeiras
- DBotafogo 0-0 Palmeiras
- DMirassol 1-1 Palmeiras
- WPalmeiras 4-1 Vasco da Gama
- LFluminense 3-2 Palmeiras
- DPalmeiras 0-0 Internacional
São Paulo
- WSão Paulo 2-0 Atlético-MG
- WSão Paulo 2-1 Red Bull Bragantino
- LChapecoense 1-0 São Paulo
- DSão Paulo 1-1 Coritiba
- LGrêmio 2-1 São Paulo
Head to head
- WSão Paulo 0-1 Palmeiras
- WSão Paulo 2-3 Palmeiras
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.