São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 01:00, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives São Paulo a 41% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 30% for Vasco da Gama. Expected goals: São Paulo 1.4, Vasco da Gama 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
SAO41%Draw29%VAS30%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home41%✓Fair odds 2.42Double chanceEither team71%✓Fair odds 1.41Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.555%✓Fair odds 1.81Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.572%✗Fair odds 1.40Both teams to scoreYes51%✗Fair odds 1.97Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.24Draw no betHome58%✓Fair odds 1.72Asian handicapAway +0.559%✗Fair odds 1.71Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome50%✓Fair odds 2.01Win to nilHome23%✓Fair odds 4.26
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% |
| Both teams score | 51% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.8%
- 1-010.5%
- 0-09.5%
- 2-18.7%
- 0-18.4%
Recent form
São Paulo
- WSão Paulo 2-1 Vitória
- LCruzeiro 2-0 São Paulo
- LSão Paulo 1-2 Santos
- WSão Paulo 1-0 Internacional
- LPalmeiras 2-0 São Paulo
Vasco da Gama
- DVasco da Gama 0-0 Remo
- WBotafogo 1-2 Vasco da Gama
- WVasco da Gama 5-0 Coritiba
- WGrêmio 1-2 Vasco da Gama
- LFluminense 1-0 Vasco da Gama
Head to head
- LVasco da Gama 2-1 São Paulo
- WVasco da Gama 0-2 São Paulo
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.