Vitória vs Grêmio prediction
Tuesday 8 September 2026, 00:00, Estadio Manoel Barradas
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Vitória a 34% chance of winning, 31% for a draw and 35% for Grêmio. Expected goals: Vitória 1.1, Grêmio 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
VIT34%Draw31%GRE35%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away35%✗Fair odds 2.86Double chanceEither team69%✓Fair odds 1.44Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.560%✓Fair odds 1.66Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.567%✗Fair odds 1.48Both teams to scoreNo53%✓Fair odds 1.90Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 6.96Draw no betAway50%✗Fair odds 1.98Asian handicapHome +0.565%✓Fair odds 1.54Odd/Even goalsEven53%✗Fair odds 1.90First team to scoreAway45%✗Fair odds 2.24Win to nilAway21%✗Fair odds 4.79
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Both teams score | 47% |
Most likely scores
- 1-114.4%
- 0-011.3%
- 0-110.7%
- 1-010.6%
- 1-27.6%
Recent form
Vitória
- LAtlético-MG 2-1 Vitória
- LVitória 0-2 Bahia
- WVitória 1-0 Botafogo
- LFlamengo 2-0 Vitória
- LVitória 0-4 Palmeiras
Grêmio
- WGrêmio 3-1 Chapecoense
- LRed Bull Bragantino 1-0 Grêmio
- LAtlético-MG 3-0 Grêmio
- WGrêmio 2-1 São Paulo
- DGrêmio 1-1 Fluminense
Head to head
- LGrêmio 2-0 Vitória
- LGrêmio 3-1 Vitória
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.